paint·day

Is it good to stain in Lubbock, TX this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Lubbock, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Wed (Good to go)
ThuCAUTION
76°/58°
Dew margin
3.5°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
16%
Window
10am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.5°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

FriRISK
62°/59°
Dew margin
1.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
17%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.7°F of the 55°F dew point (low 56°F, 100% cloud, 10 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
69°/56°
Dew margin
0.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
9%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.2°F of the 56°F dew point (low 56°F, 5% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
78°/64°
Dew margin
-4.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -4.5°F of the 60°F dew point (low 55°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
78°/68°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 52°F dew point (low 52°F, 100% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
80°/69°
Dew margin
1.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.3°F of the 53°F dew point (low 54°F, 0% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedGO
85°/68°
Dew margin
14°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 68–85°F, RH under 60%, surface stays 14°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

CautionThu — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.5°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • High humidity (91%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

Free in the beta

Watch this job site 24/7

Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.

Set up a free alert→

Other coatings in Lubbock

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Texas