Is it good to paint in Houston, TX this week?
A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Houston, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.
- Dew margin
- 1.5°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 57%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 76°F dew point (low 77°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 1.9°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 33%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 72°F dew point (low 74°F, 64% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 3.1°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 77%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (77% chance, ~3.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
- Dew margin
- 2.8°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 54%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (54% chance, ~3.6mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
- Dew margin
- -2.5°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 14%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.5°F of the 70°F dew point (low 67°F, 98% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 1.8°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 3%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 68°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 15.8°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 2%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Hot afternoon (89°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
- High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 76°F dew point (low 77°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
- Rain likely in the 24h cure window (57% chance, ~4mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
- Hot afternoon (88°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.
Why these thresholds
Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.
- • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
- • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
- • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
- • No rain for 24h after application.
- • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.
Free in the beta
Watch this job site 24/7
Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.