paint·day

Is it good to paint in Lubbock, TX this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Lubbock, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Tue (Good to go)
ThuCAUTION
75°/59°
Dew margin
4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
9%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

FriRISK
59°/57°
Dew margin
2.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
7%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.6°F of the 52°F dew point (low 55°F, 0% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
72°/59°
Dew margin
-1.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.3°F of the 55°F dew point (low 54°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
80°/62°
Dew margin
-8.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
8%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -8.4°F of the 56°F dew point (low 48°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
77°/61°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
5%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 49°F dew point (low 50°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueGO
80°/63°
Dew margin
9.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
7%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 63–80°F, RH under 62%, surface stays 9.9°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

WedGO
82°/64°
Dew margin
16.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
4%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 64–82°F, RH under 60%, surface stays 16.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

CautionThu — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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