paint·day

Is it good to paint in San Antonio, TX this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in San Antonio, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sun (Caution)
ThuRISK
87°/73°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
67%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 74°F dew point (low 74°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
85°/74°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
63%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 72°F dew point (low 73°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
81°/73°
Dew margin
4.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
42%
Window
—

Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

SunCAUTION
80°/72°
Dew margin
4.4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
40%
Window
12pm–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

MonCAUTION
87°/72°
Dew margin
5.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
5%
Window
9am–5pm

Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

TueRISK
88°/72°
Dew margin
0.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 65°F dew point (low 66°F, 19% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedCAUTION
87°/74°
Dew margin
7.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
2%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 74°F dew point (low 74°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 97% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (67% chance, ~11.9mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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